Walmart's Stock Is Gravitating Toward an All-Time-High: Could a Stock Split Make It a Magnificent Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

Walmart surprised investors with a 3-for-1 stock split.

Walmart's (WMT 1.39%) stock is splitting. The world's largest retailer surprised investors on Tuesday by announcing a 3-for-1 stock split.

In recent years, stock splits have become associated with high-flying tech stocks like those in the "Magnificent Seven." Walmart's announcement is a reminder that stock splits can take place at any company at any time, even if the share price isn't exceptionally high. Walmart shares closed Wednesday at $165.25, approaching an all-time high.

The split will be the retailer's first since 1999, reflecting the fact that the stock has mostly struggled over the past 25 years. It fell behind Amazon and underperformed the S&P 500, even as the business has done well in recent years.

Walmart argued that the stock split was designed to encourage employees to purchase the stock. The company noted that more than 400,000 employees participate in the Associate Stock Purchase Plan. This allows employees to buy stocks through payroll deductions and benefit from a 15% match on the first $1,800 they contribute each year.

CEO Doug McMillon said of the decision: "Sam Walton believed it was important to keep our share price in a range where purchasing whole shares, rather than fractions, was accessible to all of our associates. Given our growth and our plans for the future, we felt it was a good time to split the stock and encourage our associates to participate in the years to come."

Walmart's stock will begin trading on a post-split basis on Feb. 26, and the split will increase shares outstanding from 2.7 million to 8.1 million.

Walmart's Stock Is Gravitating Toward an All-Time-High: Could a Stock Split Make It a Magnificent Buy? | The Motley Fool (1)

Image source: Walmart.

What the stock split means for Walmart investors

Stock splits get a lot of attention in the media, especially when they happen at a big company like Walmart, but they don't affect the fundamentals of the business in any way. While it may look like the stock is getting cheaper, the overall business size remains the same, whether measured by earnings, cash flow, or revenue.

The stock split won't affect any of those valuation ratios. It will just split the proverbial pie of the company's stock into more pieces, but investors will own the same percentage of the business that they did before.

Nonetheless, there is some evidence that stock splits correlate with a stock's outperformance over the next year. This could be due to the momentum heading into the split as they typically come after substantial price gains or increased interest among investors. Walmart is clearly hoping that the move will encourage more buying among its employees, which could help push the stock higher.

Is Walmart stock a smart buy?

After being slow to embrace e-commerce in the early 2000s, Walmart has made significant strides in recent years, adding grocery-pickup stations at most of its stores and embracing the omnichannel retail model. It's begun building out its own third-party e-commerce marketplace to compete with Amazon.

In most of the recent quarters, it has posted faster e-commerce growth than Amazon. At the same time, its grocery business, which makes up more than half of its revenue, has been able to withstand inflation and the pressure that consumer discretionary retailers have felt.

In the third quarter, the company reported 5% comparable-sales growth, excluding fuel, and adjusted operating income rose 3% to $3.5 billion. It also raised its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance for the year to $6.40-$6.48.

Operationally, Walmart looks about as strong as it has in a long time, but there's a difference between a well-run business and a stock that's a good buy. At a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26, Walmart's valuation is similar to the S&P 500's. At that price, investors are paying a lot for Walmart's modest growth prospects.

Walmart is a safe stock that has a long track record of raising its dividend, but investors should understand that that's what they're paying up for. For the right kind of investor, Walmart is a smart buy. It's a well-managed, dividend-paying recession-proof business. But if you're looking for growth or a stock that can beat the S&P 500 by a wide margin, there are better stocks to own.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Jeremy Bowman has positions in Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Walmart's Stock Is Gravitating Toward an All-Time-High: Could a Stock Split Make It a Magnificent Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is Walmart a good long-term stock? ›

WMT is a #3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A. Additionally, the company could be a top pick for growth investors. WMT has a Growth Style Score of A, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 6.3% for the current fiscal year.

What will Walmart stock be worth in 5 years? ›

Walmart stock price stood at $59.35

According to the latest long-term forecast, Walmart price will hit $75 by the end of 2024 and then $80 by the middle of 2025. Walmart will rise to $85 within the year of 2026, $100 in 2027, $110 in 2028, $125 in 2030 and $150 in 2034.

Is Walmart a good stock to buy in 2024? ›

The company's resilience, innovative strategies and steady expansion make it a brilliant investment in the long term. Perfect for those who want growth and stability in times of high inflation and expensive prices. Walmart stock could be a valuable addition to your 2024 portfolio.

Do stock splits increase stock value? ›

Stock splits can improve trading liquidity and make the stock seem more affordable. In a stock split the number of outstanding shares increases and the price per share decreases proportionately, while the market capitalization and the value of the company do not change.

How high can Walmart stock go? ›

Stock Price Forecast

The 29 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for Walmart stock have an average target of 62.77, with a low estimate of 54.33 and a high estimate of 76. The average target predicts an increase of 4.20% from the current stock price of 60.24.

What's the best stock to buy and hold forever? ›

Best Stocks To Buy and Hold Forever
  • The Wendy's Company (NASDAQ:WEN)
  • Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO)
  • The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO)
  • American Express Company (NYSE:AXP)
  • Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE:MRK)
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM)
  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)
  • Apple Inc.
Mar 9, 2024

What is the future prediction for Walmart stock? ›

WMT Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 28 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Walmart in the last 3 months. The average price target is $65.73 with a high forecast of $75.99 and a low forecast of $58.99. The average price target represents a 8.32% change from the last price of $60.68.

What is the 10 year return on Walmart stock? ›

Ten Year Stock Price Total Return for Walmart is calculated as follows: Last Close Price [ 60.21 ] / Adj Prior Close Price [ 21.25 ] (-) 1 (=) Total Return [ 183.4% ] Prior price dividend adjustment factor is 0.81.

Who holds the most Walmart stock? ›

Jim Walton owns the most shares of Walmart (WMT). The ownership structure can impact the company's decision making, as large institutional investors may exert influence on the company's management and can also affect the company's stock price with their buying and selling patterns.

What stock will boom in 2024? ›

10 Best Growth Stocks to Buy for 2024
StockImplied upside from April 25 close*
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)23.4%
Mastercard Inc. (MA)19%
Salesforce Inc. (CRM)20.8%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD)30.1%
6 more rows
6 days ago

Which stock is splitting in 2024? ›

2024 Stock Splits
DateSymbolCompany Name
Apr 16, 2024LOARLoar Holdings Inc
Apr 15, 2024WISAWisa Technologies Inc
Apr 15, 2024MRINMarin Software Inc
Apr 15, 2024GRRRGorilla Technology Group Inc
87 more rows

Is investing in Walmart stock a good idea? ›

Walmart has made investments in its employees, such as increasing wages and offering benefits for same-sex partners. For investors, the company is an attractive investment, as it has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past few years.

Is it better to buy before or after a stock split? ›

If a company was a bad investment before a stock split, it would still be a bad investment. If it were a good investment before the split, it would still be a good investment, and now may be more affordable to some investors due to the reduced share price.

Is it better to buy before or after a reverse stock split? ›

One way is to buy shares of the company before the reverse split occurs with the plan to sell them soon afterwards. This can be profitable if the company's stock price increases after the split. Another way to make money from a reverse stock split is to short sell the stock of the company.

Should you buy more after a stock split? ›

Do stock splits benefit investors? – It's nice to own more shares after a split, since the reduced per-share price might mean there's room for greater potential price growth.

Would Walmart be a good stock to invest in? ›

Walmart has a conensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 25 buy ratings, 3 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. What is Walmart's price target? The average price target for Walmart is $65.73. This is based on 28 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

Are Walmart stocks a good investment? ›

From fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2026, analysts expect Walmart's revenue to rise at a CAGR of 4% as its EPS grows at a CAGR of 35%. Its stock still looks reasonably valued at 26 times forward earnings, its dividend offers a decent forward yield of 1.4%, and management has raised the payout annually for 51 consecutive years.

What will Walmart stock be in 10 years? ›

Walmart Stock Prediction 2030

In 2030, the Walmart stock will reach $ 95.39 if it maintains its current 10-year average growth rate. If this Walmart stock prediction for 2030 materializes, WMT stock will grow 60.78% from its current price.

Should I buy Amazon or Walmart stock? ›

These are both winning stocks that have provided years of shareholder value. Each offers something attractive for investors; growth-oriented investors might want to buy Amazon stock, while risk-averse or dividend investors might prefer Walmart.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Sen. Emmett Berge

Last Updated:

Views: 6078

Rating: 5 / 5 (80 voted)

Reviews: 95% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Sen. Emmett Berge

Birthday: 1993-06-17

Address: 787 Elvis Divide, Port Brice, OH 24507-6802

Phone: +9779049645255

Job: Senior Healthcare Specialist

Hobby: Cycling, Model building, Kitesurfing, Origami, Lapidary, Dance, Basketball

Introduction: My name is Sen. Emmett Berge, I am a funny, vast, charming, courageous, enthusiastic, jolly, famous person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.