Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (2024)

Peter Hodson: The seller of options wins 95% of the time

Author of the article:

Peter Hodson

Published Jul 28, 2022Last updated Jul 28, 20224 minute read

Join the conversation
Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (1)

When I first started in the investment world, I quickly discovered the joy — and pain — of trading options. At first, like most traders, I thought buying calls and puts was the key to quick riches. But after multiple losses as a 21-year-old, it became very clear to me that the riches were to be obtained from selling options, not buying them. Now, years later, I continue to sell options — mostly covered calls — to supplement my income.

Advertisem*nt 2

Story continues below

This advertisem*nt has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (2)

THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.

  • Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O'Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.
  • Daily content from Financial Times, the world's leading global business publication.
  • Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.
  • National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.
  • Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.

SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES

Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.

  • Exclusive articles from Barbara Shecter, Joe O'Connor, Gabriel Friedman, Victoria Wells and others.
  • Daily content from Financial Times, the world's leading global business publication.
  • Unlimited online access to read articles from Financial Post, National Post and 15 news sites across Canada with one account.
  • National Post ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition to view on any device, share and comment on.
  • Daily puzzles, including the New York Times Crossword.

REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES

Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.

  • Access articles from across Canada with one account.
  • Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments.
  • Enjoy additional articles per month.
  • Get email updates from your favourite authors.

Sign In or Create an Account

or

View more offers

Article content

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them Back to video

We apologize, but this video has failed to load.

Try refreshing your browser, or
tap here to see other videos from our team.

Selling a covered call gives you a premium (the option premium) and gives another investor the “option” to buy your stock at a fixed defined price, at a fixed expiry date in the future. For example, an option seller might get $2 to sell a $50 September call option on XYZ when XYZ shares are trading at $45. If XYZ goes above $50 before the expiry date (the third Saturday of each month), then the seller is obligated to sell their stock at $50. If XYZ fails to hit $50, he keeps his stock. Either way, the option seller keeps the $2 premium (options trade in 100 share contracts). So the potential upside is $7/share ($50 minus $45, plus $2 premium). The minimum return is $2/share. If XYZ declines, the maximum potential loss is whatever the stock goes to, minus the $2 call option premium received. Why do I think covered calls are an interesting strategy these days? Well, here are five reasons:

Article content

Article content

The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the time

Like being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money. Why then, does the options market continue to exist? Well, there is of course a legitimate hedging need for options. But the main reason is … greed. When an options buyer is right, the leverage is miraculous. One can buy a short-term $0.50 option, at times, and see it go to $10, once in a while. Quick fortunes can be made if the market moves quickly and sharply. But, that is not the norm. The majority of options buyers — despite dreams of riches in their heads — typically just see their investment expire worthless. The option seller just keeps their money, thank you very much.

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (23)

Investor

Canada's best source for investing news, analysis and insight.

By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.

Article content

Advertisem*nt 3

Story continues below

This advertisem*nt has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

Article content

Time is guaranteed

The market is a risky place, as investors have clearly been reminded in 2022. Nothing is guaranteed. Can the biggest company in Canada decline 75 per cent in six months? It just did. But one thing that is guaranteed is time. Sure as sunrise, each day clicks by, and each day every option is worth less in time value. As options tick by to expiration, the option seller is guaranteed that less time is available before expiry. Thus, time is the only real guarantee in the investment world. When you sell options, you are not necessarily trading stocks — you are selling time.

Premiums are treated as capital gains

Unless you are an extremely active trader and your main source of income is options trading, and you are a professional, the CRA treats options income as capital gains. Thus, for most investors, this means the lowest tax rate on income possible. Thus, one can supplement their income and keep more of their money. If a stock does move higher and is about to be called away, an investor can always buy back the option to cancel it, and the loss on that trade can be deducted from capital gains.

Advertisem*nt 4

Story continues below

This advertisem*nt has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.

Article content

Recommended from Editorial

  1. Five reasons the investment industry may work against some investors
  2. Five money-making strategies investors can use if the economy tips into recession
  3. Five daily affirmations to get investors through this latest bear market

Bear markets are ‘slightly’ less painful

The extra income from call options can reduce the pain a bit in a bear market. Sure, your stock might have declined from $75 to $50 in the past six months, but you might have picked up $10 or so in options premiums during that time. You have still lost money (on paper) of course, but the income still makes the bear market a little more BEARable (sorry, couldn’t resist). In addition, when markets are volatile, options premiums also increase in value, so in a roller-coaster market your option premium income can increase nicely. Still not great, but again, the higher income makes the weaker market slightly less painful.

Investors overestimate short-term stock market volatility

Options premiums can range wildly, depending on the underlying company, its volatility, dividends, balance sheet risk, sector and other factors. I prefer to only utilize one-month options for one reason: investors tend to overestimate stock volatility. In a 30 to 35-day period, the average stock simply does not move too much. But there are always investors who seem willing to bet on individual stock moves. Some stocks can provide call option premiums of five per cent to seven per cent, per month. Sure, sometimes markets will move a lot, and option sellers will have to sell a stock once in a while. But if an investor sells covered calls on 10 positions or so, it is not likely that many will move enough to get called away. And if they do, so what? If the option strike price is higher than the current price, investors still make lots of money — just less than they would if they had done nothing. But making money in the current market is tough. Are we really going to complain about making less money in a bear market?

Peter Hodson, CFA, is founder and head of Research at 5i Research Inc., an independent investment research network helping do-it-yourself investors reach their investment goals. He is also portfolio manager for the i2i Long/Short U.S. Equity Fund. (5i Research staff do not own Canadian stocks. i2i Long/Short Fund may own non-Canadian stocks mentioned.)

Article content

Comments

You must be logged in to join the discussion or read more comments.

Create an AccountSign in

Join the Conversation

Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion. Please keep comments relevant and respectful. Comments may take up to an hour to appear on the site. You will receive an email if there is a reply to your comment, an update to a thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information.

Trending

  1. Diane Francis: Our celebrity PM is getting attention for all the wrong reasons
  2. Posthaste: These loans are raising credit risk red flags in Canada
  3. Here's what you need to know about the increased capital gains tax
  4. Ottawa's budget makes it feel like Canada is betting at the casino again and losing
  5. 4 tax-smart investment ideas that pack a punch even with the budget changes

Read Next

This Week in Flyers

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them (2024)

FAQs

Options are a great way to lose money, unless you're the one selling them? ›

The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the time

Can you lose money with options? ›

Like other securities including stocks, bonds and mutual funds, options carry no guarantees. Be aware that it's possible to lose the entire principal invested, and sometimes more. As an options holder, you risk the entire amount of the premium you pay. But as an options writer, you take on a much higher level of risk.

Are options a good way to make money? ›

Options traders can profit by being option buyers or option writers. Options allow for potential profit during volatile times, regardless of which direction the market is moving. This is possible because options can be traded in anticipation of market appreciation or depreciation.

What is the most you can lose if you buy an option? ›

The buyer of an option can't lose more than the initial premium paid for the contract, no matter what happens to the underlying security. So the risk to the buyer is never more than the amount paid for the option. The profit potential, on the other hand, is theoretically unlimited.

Can options trading make you rich? ›

You might very well have the patience and diligence to get rich with options. It will probably take you years to accomplish, but with dedication and effort it is entirely possible to make a lot of money with options on top of your long-term investing.

Why do over 90% of options traders lose money? ›

The futures and options (F&O) market is a complex and risky market, and it is no surprise that 9 out of 10 traders lose money in it. There are many reasons for this, but some of the most common include: Lack of knowledge: Many traders enter the F&O market without a good understanding of how it works.

Do 90% of traders lose money? ›

Actually numbers are following: 70% -75% of people lose money in their first year of trading! Other 20–25 % lose money in next 5 years! And only 3–5% of all traders are profitable or not losing money.

How not to lose money in options? ›

Avoid speculation: Avoid purely speculative trading without a well-reasoned strategy. Make informed decisions based on analysis, not emotions or hunches. Hedge positions: Use options to hedge existing positions in stocks or other assets. This can reduce the risk of large losses if the market moves against you.

Can you make a living off of options? ›

Trading options for a living is possible if you're willing to put in the effort. Traders can make anywhere from $1,000 per month to $200,000+ per year.

Which option is most profitable? ›

If you are looking for an option selling strategy that has unlimited profits with limited risks, then the synthetic call strategy is the best way to go.

What is the 1% rule in options? ›

The 1% risk rule means not risking more than 1% of account capital on a single trade. It doesn't mean only putting 1% of your capital into a trade. Put as much capital as you wish, but if the trade is losing more than 1% of your total capital, close the position.

How many people lose money on options? ›

His agency, the Securities and Exchange Board of India, known as Sebi, says 90% of active retail traders lose money trading options and other derivative contracts. In the year ended March 2022, the latest for which figures are available, investors lost $5.4 billion.

Do options lose value every day? ›

Of all the options risk measures, the passage of time is the one thing that's certain. Time marches on, which means that most options, which have fixed lifespans defined by their expirations, will continue to "decay," or lose value over time.

Who is the richest option trader? ›

Top 10 Richest Binary Option Traders in the world
  • Quotex - Estimated Net Worth: $500 million.
  • Olymp Trade - Estimated Net Worth: $450 million.
  • Deriv - Estimated Net Worth: $400 million.
  • Binomo - Estimated Net Worth: $350 million.
  • Pocket Option - Estimated Net Worth: $300 million.
May 10, 2024

What is the average income from options trading? ›

$112,369

What is the riskiest option strategy? ›

Selling call options on a stock that is not owned is the riskiest option strategy. This is also known as writing a naked call and selling an uncovered call.

Can you lose infinite money on options? ›

An option strategy has unlimited loss if it is net short call options or underlying. The theoretically unlimited loss occurs on the upside (when underlying price gets infinitely high).

Who loses money when you make money on options? ›

The seller of options wins 95 per cent of the time

Like being the owner of a casino in Vegas, when you sell options, the odds are in your favour. But in the options market you have even better odds than a casino. Practically every option buyer loses money.

How fast do options lose value? ›

In the last month of the life of an option, theta increases sharply, and the days required for a one-point decline in premium falls rapidly. At five days remaining until expiration, the option is losing one point in just less than half a day (0.45 days).

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Aracelis Kilback

Last Updated:

Views: 6325

Rating: 4.3 / 5 (44 voted)

Reviews: 83% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Aracelis Kilback

Birthday: 1994-11-22

Address: Apt. 895 30151 Green Plain, Lake Mariela, RI 98141

Phone: +5992291857476

Job: Legal Officer

Hobby: LARPing, role-playing games, Slacklining, Reading, Inline skating, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Dance

Introduction: My name is Aracelis Kilback, I am a nice, gentle, agreeable, joyous, attractive, combative, gifted person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.