How Much Longer Can Earth Support Life? (2024)

How Much Longer Can Earth Support Life? (1)

Earth could continue to host life for at least another 1.75 billion years, as long as nuclear holocaust, an errant asteroid or some other disaster doesn't intervene, a new study calculates.

But even without such dramatic doomsday scenarios, astronomical forces will eventually render the planet uninhabitable. Somewhere between 1.75 billion and 3.25 billion years from now, Earth will travel out of the solar system's habitable zone and into the "hot zone," new research indicates.

These zones are defined by water. In the habitable zone, a planet (whether in this solar system or an alien one) is just the right distance from its star to have liquid water. Closer to the sun, in the "hot zone," the Earth's oceans would evaporate. Of course, conditions for complex life — including humans — would become untenable before the planet entered the hot zone. [The Top 10 Ways to Destroy Earth]

But the researchers' main concern was the search for life on other planets, not predicting a timeline for the end of life on this one.

The evolution of complex life on Earth suggests the process requires a lot of time.

Simple cells first appeared on Earth nearly 4 billion years ago. "We had insects 400 million years ago, dinosaurs 300 million years ago and flowering plants 130 million years ago," lead researcher Andrew Rushby, of the University of East Anglia in the United Kingdom, said in a statement."Anatomically modern humans have only been around for the last 200,000 years — so you can see it takes a really long time for intelligent life to develop."

Rushby and his colleagues developed a new tool to help evaluate the amount of time available for the evolution of life on other planets: a model that predicts the time a planet would spend in its habitable zone. In the research, published today (Sept. 18) in the journal Astrobiology,they applied the model to Earth and eight other planets currently in the habitable zone, including Mars.

They calculated that Earth's habitable-zone lifetime is as long as 7.79 billion years. (Earth is estimated to be about 4.5 billion years old.) Meanwhile, the other planets had habitable-zone lifetimes ranging from 1 billion years to 54.72 billion years.

Related: Physicists just released step-by-step instructions for building a wormhole

"If we ever needed to move to another planet, Mars is probably our best bet," Rushby said in a statement. "It's very close and will remain in the habitable zone until the end of the sun's lifetime — 6 billion years from now."

While other models have been developed for Earth, they are not suitable for other planets, he added.

Follow us @livescience, Facebookor Google+. Original article published on LiveScience.

Wynne was a reporter at The Stamford Advocate. She has interned at Discover magazine and has freelanced for The New York Times and Scientific American's web site. She has a masters in journalism from Columbia University and a bachelor's degree in biology from the University of Utah.

More about planet earth

How much does Earth weigh?Largest gold nugget ever found in England unearthed with faulty metal detector

Latest

Space photo of the week: James Webb telescope reveals surprising starburst in ancient galaxy
See more latest►

Most Popular
Inside the 20-year quest to unravel the bizarre realm of 'quantum superchemistry'

By Sam Lemonick

How do lasers work?

By Joanna Thompson

Scientists made the coldest large molecule on record — and it has a super strange chemical bond

By Victoria Atkinson

Defying the odds, Japan's SLIM lander survives 2nd night on the moon

By Mike Wall

Fiber-optic data transfer speeds hit a rapid 301 Tbps — 1.2 million times faster than your home broadband connection

By Keumars Afifi-Sabet

Cicada double brood event: What to expect when trillions of bugs emerge in Eastern US

By Carys Matthews

4 ways you can help NASA study the April 8 solar eclipse

By Jamie Carter

Rare meningitis and bloodstream infections on the rise in the US, CDC warns

By Nicoletta Lanese

Fortified 14th-century castle and moat discovered under hotel in France

By Kristina Killgrove

1,500-year-old DNA used to reveal likeness of Chinese Emperor Wu

By Jennifer Nalewicki

Uptick in tuberculosis raises alarm in California

By Nicoletta Lanese

How Much Longer Can Earth Support Life? (2024)

FAQs

How Much Longer Can Earth Support Life? ›

Earth could continue to host life for at least another 1.75 billion years, as long as nuclear holocaust, an errant asteroid or some other disaster doesn't intervene. But even without such dramatic doomsday scenarios astronomical forces will eventually render the planet uninhabitable.

How much longer can Earth support life? ›

So how long does Earth have until the planet is swallowed by the sun? Expected time of death: several billion years from now. But life on Earth will end much, much sooner than that. Earth will become unlivable for most organisms in about 1.3 billion years due to the sun's natural evolution, experts told Live Science.

How much longer will humans be able to survive on Earth? ›

But how long can humans last? Eventually humans will go extinct. According to the most wildly optimistic estimate, our species will last perhaps another billion years but end when the expanding envelope of the sun swells outward and heats the planet to a Venus-like state. But a billion years is a long time.

How much human life can Earth support? ›

He estimated that the world could support 13.4 billion people. Estimates in the last half of the 20th century ranged from less than 1 billion to more than 1,000 billion.

How many years from now will Earth be too hot for life? ›

In roughly 1 billion years, the Earth's surface may be too hot for liquid water which would limit habitability for carbon-based life. 4–5 billion years after that, the Earth will become part of our start when the sun becomes a red giant.

What will humans look like in 3000? ›

Humans in the year 3000 will have a larger skull but, at the same time, a very small brain. "It's possible that we will develop thicker skulls, but if a scientific theory is to be believed, technology can also change the size of our brains," they write.

Will Earth be habitable in 2100? ›

Temperatures will be dangerously hot in more places and at more times than ever before. Less of Earth will be as agreeably habitable as in the past. Ecosystems and our relationships with ecosystems will continue to change, creating even more insecurity on the planet.

Will humans live 1,000 years? ›

A molecular biogerontology professor believes we've only started to move toward holding off aging, and that humans will eventually have the potential to live for 1,000 to 20,000 years. Technology not yet created would be key to extreme longevity, as we would need to be able to eliminate aging at the cellular level.

How long before Earth is uninhabitable? ›

Although the Earth will still be within the habitable zone in 250 million years' time, the formation of a supercontinent with elevated CO2 will make most of the world uninhabitable for humans and other mammals. The findings show that only somewhere between 8 and 16 per cent of land would be habitable.

How long can humans realistically live? ›

We're only just beginning to understand what's possible for our longevity. InsideTracker founder Dr. Gil Blander believes humans theoretically may live as long as 310 years. Based on mathematical models, our longest potential lifespan is around 150 years.

Does Earth have a limit? ›

There are limits to the life-sustaining resources earth can provide us. In other words, there is a carrying capacity for human life on our planet. Carrying capacity is the maximum number of a species an environment can support indefinitely. Every species has a carrying capacity, even humans.

What is the maximum life of a human? ›

A theoretical study suggested the maximum human lifespan to be around 125 years using a modified stretched exponential function for human survival curves. In another study, researchers claimed that there exists a maximum lifespan for humans, and that the human maximal lifespan has been declining since the 1990s.

Can humanity survive a billion years? ›

Asteroid strikes, supernovae blasts, and other calamities could take out humanity. But no matter what, a cataclysmic event 1 billion years from now will likely rob the planet of oxygen, wiping out life.

How long do humans have left on Earth? ›

Humanity has a 95% probability of being extinct in 7,800,000 years, according to J. Richard Gott's formulation of the controversial doomsday argument, which argues that we have probably already lived through half the duration of human history.

What parts of the Earth will be uninhabitable by 2050? ›

But climate models tell us certain regions are likely to exceed those temperatures in the next 30-to-50 years. The most vulnerable areas include South Asia, the Persian Gulf, and the Red Sea by around 2050; and Eastern China, parts of Southeast Asia, and Brazil by 2070.

What temperature is too hot for humans to survive? ›

They found that this upper-temperature limit lies between 40℃ (104F) and 50℃ (122F) when the human body stops functioning optimally. Further studies are needed to understand how this happens and offer insights as heatwaves and unusually warm temperatures continue to impact regions across the globe.

How many years are left for Earth to survive? ›

Earth will interact tidally with the Sun's outer atmosphere, which would decrease Earth's orbital radius. Drag from the chromosphere of the Sun would reduce Earth's orbit. These effects will counterbalance the impact of mass loss by the Sun, and the Sun will likely engulf Earth in about 7.59 billion years from now.

Will the planet be liveable by 2050? ›

Today, just one percent of the planet falls within so-called “barely liveable” hot zones: by 2050, the ratio could rise to almost twenty percent. In 2100, temperatures could rise so high that spending a few hours outside some major capital cities of South Asia and East Asia could be lethal.

How many years can we save Earth? ›

In a 2018 report by the IPCC, it was stated that 12 years are left to turn the fight against climate change around. Other sources quoted the much more stringent deadline of 18 months.

What will life be like in 1000 years? ›

Humans will become cyborgs.

In 1,000 years from now, merging with technology might be the only way for humanity to compete with Artificial Intelligence. Merging human minds with computers would create a superbrain that could perform complex equations and search the internet just by thinking.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Rubie Ullrich

Last Updated:

Views: 6025

Rating: 4.1 / 5 (52 voted)

Reviews: 91% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Rubie Ullrich

Birthday: 1998-02-02

Address: 743 Stoltenberg Center, Genovevaville, NJ 59925-3119

Phone: +2202978377583

Job: Administration Engineer

Hobby: Surfing, Sailing, Listening to music, Web surfing, Kitesurfing, Geocaching, Backpacking

Introduction: My name is Rubie Ullrich, I am a enthusiastic, perfect, tender, vivacious, talented, famous, delightful person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.