As more companies in the U.S. lay off workers and the economy continues to experience high inflation despite higher interest rates, many people are wondering if the U.S. economy will head into a recession. Let's take a look at what happens to your savings in a recession and how to safeguard your finances.
What is a recession?
A recession is a term used to describe a significant decline in economic activity. A common rule of thumb to define a recession is when we see two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. However, it is much more complex than that. Recessions are officially declared by eight economists from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). According to the NBER, a recession is "a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months." The last time we were in a recession was during the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, from February to April 2020.
When a recession occurs, there is a drop in the production of goods and services, unemployment rates rise, and the stock market declines. This can result in a decrease in consumer spending, which can worsen the situation. Recessions can last for a few months to several years and they can affect different countries and industries in different ways.
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How does a recession affect your savings?
If you're someone who has saved diligently over the years, a recession can be a real punch in the gut. Here's what you should watch out for.
Savings interest rates decrease
When the economy is in a recession, interest rates tend to go down to promote borrowing, which can stimulate economic activity. Unfortunately, this means that the interest rates offered by banks, particularly on savings accounts, will drop too. In turn, it affects the amount of interest you earn on your savings. However, inflation also tends to be lower during a recession, so the value of your money is higher than when there is high inflation.
Stock market volatility
Investors who have put their money in the stock market are usually hit hard during a recession. During this period, the stock market usually experiences a lot of volatility as investors panic and offload their stocks, leading to a decline in the markets. Unfortunately, when the stock market is performing poorly, your investments may also be significantly affected, particularly if you have money in stocks or mutual funds.
Job security
Another risk associated with a recession is the potential loss of a job. When businesses are struggling financially, they may need to downsize their workforce or shut down altogether, which could leave you without a reliable income stream. Without income, you may need to dip into your savings to cover your expenses, which could deplete your savings much faster than you expect.
How to protect yourself in a recession
There are ways to protect your savings during a recession. Keep your savings in a high-yield savings account or certificate of deposit (CD). While the interest rates on CDs and savings accounts may not be high, they are generally safe and can provide some protection against inflation. However, it is important to remember that the FDIC only insures deposits up to $250,000 per depositor per insured bank. So, if you have more than $250,000 in savings, you may need to spread your deposits across multiple banks to ensure that they are all fully insured.
It is also important to have an emergency fund in place. During a recession, it is much more likely that you may lose your job or experience a decrease in income. Having an emergency fund with at least three to six months' worth of expenses can help you weather the storm without having to dip into your long-term savings.
To protect your savings from a market crash, focus on diversifying your investments across multiple asset classes. Consider investing in bonds, commodities, and other alternative investments that tend to perform well when the stock market is struggling. Additionally, don't trade frequently or try to time the market; take a long-term investment approach and focus on your goals.
Focus on paying off any existing debts you have as quickly as possible. If you do need to borrow to cover expenses, make sure to do so in a responsible manner, only taking on what you can afford to pay back in a reasonable time frame.
While recessions can be scary, there are steps you can take to protect your savings from their potentially negative effects. Remember to stay focused on your long-term goals and don't make emotion-based decisions in response to short-term market changes. By taking a proactive approach, you can safeguard your savings and come out on top.
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FAQs
Recessions can impact your savings in many different ways. Lower interest rates, stock market volatility, and potential job loss can drain your savings. Diversifying your investments, building an emergency fund, and opening a high-yield savings account can help protect your savings.
Should I take my money out of the bank during a recession? ›
You can keep money in a bank account during a recession and it will be safe through FDIC and NCUA deposit insurance. Up to $250,000 is secure in individual bank accounts and $500,000 is safe in joint bank accounts.
How much cash should I have on hand during a recession? ›
Finance Experts All Say the Same Thing
They all said the same thing: You need three to six months' worth of living expenses in an easily accessible savings account.
What happens to my savings if the market crashes? ›
Your investment is put into various asset options, including stocks. The value of those stocks is directly tied to the stock market's performance. This means that when the stock market is up, so is your investment, and vice versa. The odds are the value of your retirement savings may decline if the market crashes.
What is the best savings account during a recession? ›
If you're wondering where to put your money in a recession, consider a high-yield savings account, money market account, CD or bonds.
Can you lose your savings in a recession? ›
Recessions can impact your savings in many different ways. Lower interest rates, stock market volatility, and potential job loss can drain your savings. Diversifying your investments, building an emergency fund, and opening a high-yield savings account can help protect your savings.
Where is the safest place to put money in a market crash? ›
Where to put money during a recession. Putting money in savings accounts, money market accounts, and CDs keeps your money safe in an FDIC-insured bank account (or NCUA-insured credit union account). Alternatively, invest in the stock market with a broker. Let's go over each of these options.
Is it better to have cash or assets in a recession? ›
Cash. Cash is an important asset when it comes to a recession. After all, if you do end up in a situation where you need to pull from your assets, it helps to have a dedicated emergency fund to fall back on, especially if you experience a layoff.
Is it smart to have cash in a recession? ›
Cash gives you a lot of options. You can spend it if you need to, for example, if you lose your job during a recession, and it allows you to make an opportunistic investment if the stock market suddenly sells off or you find the perfect house later on. But there is a downside to holding too much cash.
How much cash can you keep at home legally in the US? ›
While it is legal to keep as much as money as you want at home, the standard limit for cash that is covered under a standard home insurance policy is $200, according to the American Property Casualty Insurance Association.
If your bank fails, up to $250,000 of deposited money (per person, per account ownership type) is protected by the FDIC. When banks fail, the most common outcome is that another bank takes over the assets and your accounts are simply transferred over. If not, the FDIC will pay you out.
Can you lose your 401(k) if the market crashes? ›
The worst thing you can do to your 401(k) is to cash out if the market crashes. Market downturns are generally short and minimal compared to the rebounds that follow. As long as you hold on to your investments during a bear market, you haven't lost anything.
Do I lose all my money if the stock market crashes? ›
No, a stock market crash only indicates a fall in prices where a majority of investors face losses but do not completely lose all the money. The money is lost only when the positions are sold during or after the crash.
Which bank is giving 7% interest in savings accounts? ›
As of May 2024, no banks are offering 7% interest rates on savings accounts. Two credit unions have high-interest checking accounts: Landmark Credit Union Premium Checking with 7.50% APY and OnPath Credit Union High Yield Checking with 7.00% APY.
Where can I get 5% interest on my savings account? ›
Nationally Available High Interest Account Rates from Our Partners
| Account Name | APY (Annual Percentage Yield) Accurate as of 5/13/2024 |
|---|
| UFB Secure Savings | 5.25% |
| CIT Bank Platinum Savings | 5.00% (with $5,000 minimum balance) |
| Wealthfront Cash Account | 5.00% |
| Barclays Online Savings Account | 4.35% |
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On average, since 1950, recessions have lasted around 10 months with these downturns spanning between two months and 18 months. So, if you wanted to be pretty conservative, you could opt to save 10 months of living expenses, as that would be enough to get you through the average recession.
Can the government take money from your bank account in a crisis? ›
The government can seize money from your checking account only in specific circ*mstances and with due process. The most common reason for the government to seize funds from your account is to collect unpaid taxes, such as federal taxes, state taxes, or child support payments.
How to protect your money from a bank collapse? ›
Ensure Your Bank Is Insured
If a bank or credit union collapses, each depositor is covered for up to $250,000. If your bank or credit union isn't FDIC- or NCUA-insured, however, you won't have that guarantee, so make sure your funds are at an institution covered by deposit insurance.
What not to do during a recession? ›
Avoid becoming a co-signer on a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt. Don't quit your job if you aren't prepared for a long search for a new one. If you own your own business, consider postponing spending on capital improvements and taking on new debt until the recovery has begun.
Is my money safe in the bank right now? ›
FDIC Insurance
Most deposits in banks are insured dollar-for-dollar by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. This insurance covers your principal and any interest you're owed through the date of your bank's default up to $250,000 in combined total balances.
