A 30-Year Trap: The Problem With America’s Weird Mortgages (2024)

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Buying a home was hard before the pandemic. Somehow, it keeps getting harder.

Prices, already sky-high, have gotten even higher, up nearly 40 percent over the past three years. Available homes have gotten scarcer: Listings are down nearly 20 percent over the same period. And now interest rates have soared to a 20-year high, eroding buying power without — in defiance of normal economic logic — doing much to dent prices.

None of which, of course, is a problem for people who already own homes. They have been insulated from rising interest rates and, to a degree, from rising consumer prices. Their homes are worth more than ever. Their monthly housing costs are, for the most part, locked in place.

The reason for that divide — a big part of it, anyway — is a unique, ubiquitous feature of the U.S. housing market: the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

That mortgage has been so common for so long that it can be easy to forget how strange it is. Because the interest rate is fixed, homeowners get to freeze their monthly loan payments for as much as three decades, even if inflation picks up or interest rates rise. But because most U.S. mortgages can be paid off early with no penalty, homeowners can simply refinance if rates go down. Buyers get all of the benefits of a fixed rate, with none of the risks.

“It’s a one-sided bet,” said John Y. Campbell, a Harvard economist who has argued that the 30-year mortgage contributes to inequality. “If inflation goes way up, the lenders lose and the borrowers win. Whereas if inflation goes down, the borrower just refinances.”

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A 30-Year Trap: The Problem With America’s Weird Mortgages (2024)

FAQs

Why is the 30-year mortgage a uniquely American trap? ›

Indeed, the 30-year fixed-rate is unique to the U.S. because it combines the attributes of a long-term mortgage and a fixed-rate loan, when it is typically one or the other.

What's wrong with 30-year mortgages? ›

One disadvantage to a 30-year loan is that your equity grows slowly. If you sell the home when you have little equity, you'll have to use most of the sales proceeds to repay the lender.

Why does America have 30-year fixed mortgage rates? ›

The secondary market for mortgage-backed securities in the U.S. is the “whole reason” for the existence of the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, McBride explained. About half of all mortgages originated in the U.S. will end up packaged into a mortgage-backed security and sold to bond investors, he said.

What is the mortgage trap? ›

A mortgage prisoner is a customer trapped on an old mortgage product which does not offer the ability to switch to a cheaper rate. This may be due to new affordability rules that have been introduced since the original mortgage was taken out, meaning that a customer would no longer qualify for their original loan.

Why might someone prefer a 30-year mortgage? ›

Key Takeaways. Most homebuyers choose a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, but a 15-year mortgage can be a good choice for some. A 30-year mortgage can make your monthly payments more affordable. While monthly payments on a 15-year mortgage are higher, the cost of the loan is less in the long run.

What does Dave Ramsey say about mortgage debt? ›

But if you're not sitting on a mountain of money, Ramsey Solutions says the only home loan you should consider is a conventional, fixed-rate mortgage with a 15-year (or less) term. Your monthly mortgage payment also shouldn't exceed 25% of your take home pay.

Is 50 too old for a 30-year mortgage? ›

If you can demonstrate an ability to repay the loan before you're 75 years old, they will consider your application no matter your age! For example, if you needed to borrow $300,000 and were 50 years old, the standard 30-year mortgage term could be reduced to 25 years and your loan would be approved.

How much is a 30-year mortgage payment for $200000? ›

As far as the simple math goes, a $200,000 home loan at a 7% interest rate on a 30-year term will give you a $1,330.60 monthly payment. That $200K monthly mortgage payment includes the principal and interest.

At what age should you no longer have a mortgage? ›

To O'Leary, debt is the enemy of any financial plan — even the so-called “good debt” of a mortgage. According to him, your best chance for long-term financial success lies in getting out from under your mortgage by age 45.

Is there anything higher than a 30-year mortgage? ›

30-year mortgage vs. 40-year mortgage. The main differences between a 30-year and 40-year mortgage are the cost of the monthly payment, the interest rate and the interest paid over time.

Why choose a 15-year mortgage over a 30-year? ›

The 15-year mortgage has some advantages when compared to the 30-year, such as less overall interest paid, a lower interest rate, lower fees, and forced savings.

Who invented the 30 year mortgage? ›

Franklin D Roosevelt under the New Deal policies created mortgage rates for 15 years. Also created the Federal Housing administration which eventually changed the length of time to 30 years.

Do other countries have 30 year fixed mortgages? ›

The U.S. is the only country where a 30-year fixed rate mortgage is standard, and is the result of government policy to encourage home ownership.

What is the lowest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

Mortgage rates have been historic in their own right during the past few years. The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

How many countries have 30 year mortgages? ›

The United States is unique in that it is the only country in the world that has as its primary mortgage offering the 30-year fixed rate mortgage.

What percent of Americans are behind on their mortgage? ›

Key findings:
State% facing foreclosure% behind on mortgage payments
Hawaii2%4%
Michigan2%3%
South Carolina1%7%
California1%5%
47 more rows
Aug 29, 2022

How long does the average American keep their mortgage? ›

What Is the Average Mortgage Term in the US? The average length of a mortgage is 30 years, but that's not the amount of time that most borrowers will keep the loan. Homeowners only stay in a home for eight years on average, and many refinance their home loans.

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